Page 44 - Plastics News December 2025
P. 44

INTERNATIONAL NEWS








          U.S.-CANADIAN PE AND PP MARKETS LOOK


          FOR BETTER DAYS IN 2026



                 olyethylene  and polypropylene  markets        August, according to ChemPMC. Injection mold-
                 in the U.S. and Canada are looking to re-      ing led the way with a 42 percent market share,
          Pcover in 2026 after seeing lower demand              twice  that of sheet at 21 percent.  Sales  of PP
          through most of 2025.                                 into blow molding were up more than 8 percent,
                                                                while sales of the material into film were down 6
          “Both [PE and PP] are mature markets where            percent.
          domestic demand is less relevant,” market ana-
          lyst Esteban Sagel said at a recent presentation      For U.S./Canadian PE, Sagel said capacity ex-
          for the Flexible Packaging Association.               pansions “are almost over” and that exports are
                                                                driving total demand. “The low cost [feedstocks]
          Sagel – principal of Chemical & Polymer Market        position allows PE assets to run at high operat-
          Consultants in Houston - added that both mate-        ing rates of 88 percent,” he added.
          rials saw higher inventories in the U.S. and Cana-
          da than they did in 2024.                             Major PE capacity expansions in the last 10-15
                                                                years have been fueled by increased access to
          Regional PE demand was down 6 percent                 shale gas and oil in North America.
          through August, Sagel said, citing his firm’s data.
          Within that mix, low density PE demand was up,        U.S./Canadian PP, by comparison, has had lim-
          while linear low density PE demand was flat and       ited capacity expansions, with stable demand
          high density PE demand was down.                      and limited export growth, Sagel said. As a re-
                                                                sult, that market now has relatively low operat-
          Film uses accounted for 46 percent of PE sales        ing rates of 82 percent.
          in the first eight months of 2025, leading the
          market and well ahead of blow molding at 16           U.S. PE exports are just under 50 percent of total
          percent, according to ChemPMC. Among end              production, split between 40 percent for LDPE,
          markets for PE, extrusion coating showed the          50 percent for HDPE and 60 percent for LLDPE.
          most growth with around 8 percent, while sales
          into injection  molding showed  the largest  de-      “We appear to be reaching a state of equilibri-
          cline, down 15 percent vs. 2024.                      um, with relative share of domestic [PE] demand
                                                                and exports as a percentage of production sta-
          PE sales into pipe and conduit also were up           bilizing,” Sagel said.
          more  than 5  percent,  according  to ChemPMC,
          while sales of the material into sheet and blow       U.S. PE exports are on track to total just over 34
          molding each were down more than 5 percent.           billion pounds in 2025. Europe is the largest des-
                                                                tination for that material, with 7.5 billion pounds
          Regional PP sales were down 3 percent through         expected to be sold there this year.


             44   PLASTICS NEWS                                                                    December 2025
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