Page 57 - Plastics News Issue June 2025
P. 57

BUSINESS NEWS




          In February, when tariff talk started getting se-     into the EU, Matt Tudball, UK-based senior editor
          rious, sales volumes dropped by nearly three-         of recycling at commodity intelligence firm ICIS,
          quarters, said the North American seller, but         told Plastics Recycling Update. And for both vir-
          when the tariffs didn’t go into effect, buyers re-    gin and recycled PET, the Asia-to-Europe trade
          turned. “That was the first time everybody was a      route is well established.
          little bit wary, and didn’t react as fast,” the seller
          said, and this pattern repeated in April.             But for recycled PE and PP,  “there’s a lot more
                                                                hesitation on bringing Asian material in, partly
          Even if recycled plastics are exempt from tariffs,    because of lead times, but partly because those
          “the problem is really the uncertainty. Nobody        trade routes are being established in a very
          can make a decision; everybody just kind of lives     different world than it was 10 to 20 years ago,
          day by day. Our customers can’t plan anymore,         where they’re worried about the optics of bring-
          so it’s much more difficult for them to commit        ing material long distance,” Mark Victory, UK-
          and to send out purchase orders and to get the        based senior editor of recycling at ICIS, said.
          commitment  long  term,”  the  North  American
          seller said, adding that no one is willing to ex-     Overall, the impact to European recycled plas-
          pose themselves to any more risk than is neces-       tics pricing is expected to be secondary, Victory
          sary.                                                 and Tudball both said. For example, the euro has
                                                                strengthened against the dollar, making Asian
          In its May North America market update, global        products priced in U.S. dollars cheaper.
          shipping giant Maersk noted that two ways to
          manage risk were to ship in “Less than Container      Recycled polyolefins do not see significant flows
          Loads,” or LCL, to avoid overstocking that could      in or out of Europe, Victory said, but these mar-
          incur high fees, and to avoid using Delivered         kets could see a secondary impact from a reduc-
          Duty Paid, or DDP, shipping terms.                    tion of U.S.-origin virgin PE coming into Europe.

          During gaps in tariffs, foreign sellers can move      “This actually could potentially have a positive
          volumes  into U.S.  warehouses,  filling  them  up    impact for recycling, because if it pushes the
          with “whatever we think we can sell.” Beyond          virgin price up higher, it could relieve some of
          that, companies don’t have much of a strategy,        those margin strains on some of the non-pack-
          the seller said. Nevertheless, with the continuing    aging applications that compete directly, but
          U.S. uncertainty, the seller said they were look-     also it could make people make that transition
          ing more at Latin America, as well as Europe, to      to recycling quicker and earlier.”
          help diversify the buying roster.
                                                                In addition to the recently enacted Packaging
          “It’s kind of sad, because, I mean, there’s good      and Packaging Waste Reduction legislation,
          relationships,  there’s  good  ties  between  both    other regulations, such as EU 2022/1616, apply
          countries, and you see everybody kind of pulling      to food-contact applications, Tudball said. The
          back.”                                                result is that there’s a lot of focus on traceability
                                                                of recycled material, “so it remains to be seen if
          Asia courts European buyers                           these cheap imports end up really taken up by
                                                                European buyers, or if they’re still a little bit cau-
          The ongoing U.S. uncertainty has opened the           tious.”
          window for recycled resin imports to increase

              June 2025                                                                      PLASTICS NEWS  57
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