Page 50 - Plastics News - April 2026
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          Grade     Region /   Price Today  Price Today  WoW        to an estimated 25-30% demand destruction
                    Manufac-  (`/MT)    (`/KG)    Change            as MSME processing units, which form 85%
                    turer
          PVC Sus-  Domes-    `1,14,000  `114.00  +`6,000          of the sector, struggle to pass on costs.
          pension   tic (RIL /
          (K-67)    Chemplast)                                  Market News: Strategic Investigations and
          PVC Sus-  Import    `1,02,000  `102.00  -9.2%
          pension   (Chinese                                    Force Majeure
          (K-67)    SG5)
          PVC Paste  Domestic  `1,25,000  `125.00  +`5,000     ♦   Anti-Dumping Action: The Indian govern-
          (Emulsion)                                                ment has initiated a Countervailing Duty
          CPVC      Industrial   `2,10,000  `210.00   Firm         (CVD) investigation on PVC suspension resin
          Resin     Grade
                                                                    imports from China to protect local manufac-
          Feedstock Impact: Crude oil prices crossing               turers from aggressive dumping.
          $103/barrel have pushed naphtha prices up by
          $60/MT, forcing a structural re-pricing of all pol-   ♦   Refinery Diversion: Refineries have been di-
          ymers.                                                    rected to divert C3/C4 streams to meet do-
                                                                    mestic LPG shortages, further tightening the
          Price in KG: While bulk resin is at `114/kg, PVC          availability of raw materials for PVC and PP.
          pipe  prices  in  the  retail  market  have  reached   ♦   Infrastructure Momentum: Despite price
          `140–`170 per foot for 4-inch variants.                   volatility, the Union Budget 2026 allocation
                                                                    of $970 million for the PMKSY scheme con-
          Demand-Supply: Global Disruption vs. Import
          Overhang                                                  tinues to underpin long-term demand for ir-
                                                                    rigation and water-supply pipes.
          The demand-supply dynamic is currently under          Market Expectation: Volatility to Persist
          extreme pressure from two opposing forces:
                                                                Through April 2026
          ♦   Supply Shock:  Force  Majeure  declarations
             by East Asian producers (Hanwha, SCGC)             The market expectation remains bullish on pric-
             due to Middle East logistics disruptions have      ing but bearish on immediate volume growth.
             choked the usual supply lines. Additionally,       With the Middle East situation deadlocked, sup-
             Indian refineries are prioritizing LPG over        ply is expected to remain "hand-to-mouth."
             petrochemical feedstocks, threatening a 30-        Short-term: Prices are expected to stay firm
             40% capacity cut in domestic polymer pro-          or trend upward in April as domestic invento-
             duction.                                           ries deplete and import costs from non-Chinese

          ♦   The China Factor: Despite global tightness,       sources remain high.
             Chinese commodity-grade PVC continues to
             flood  India  at  discounted  rates  (`1,02,000/   Yearly Outlook: Analysts project a 10-12% vol-
             MT) due to weak domestic demand in China,          ume growth for the year, provided the geopo-
             creating a "bifurcated market."                    litical risk-off sentiment eases and allows for a
                                                                correction in feedstock costs.
          ♦   Downstream Demand: High costs have led
                                                                                                     Source - Nexizo

             52   PLASTICS NEWS                                                                         April 2026
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