Page 49 - Plastics News Issue May 2025
P. 49

INTERNATIONAL NEWS




          Now Comes the Hard Part… Policy Shifts

          with a New Administration





                                                                a  major  tariff  on imported  bourbon  to get  the
                                                                attention of Mitch McConnell? It also is very pos-
                                                                sible that President Trump has proposed these
                                                                tariffs as a negotiating technique.

                                                                Several of his allies suggest these tariffs will be
                                                                reduced or eliminated if the target nation pro-
                                                                vides something in return. This could be better
                                                                access for US-made goods or promises to shift
                                                                production  to  the  US.  There  is  evidence  that
                                                                Taiwan Semiconductor decided to build its new-
                                                                est plant outside Phoenix for that very reason.
          Three Major Policy Shifts
                                                                Some of this exchange already has been seen
          Three things stand out as far as projected pol-       as Colombia backed off its refusal to accept mi-
          icy. President Trump and the GOP are commit-          grants back into the country, and Europe has
          ted to what has been described as nationalist         been shifting away from Russian oil and gas to-
          populism. This approach means the US will be-         ward US output. In President Trump’s first term,
          come more isolationist when it comes to world         hundreds of exemptions were given to tariffs if
          affairs and more protectionist when it comes to       the nations targeted agreed to US demands.
          the economy. This is the intent, in any case, but     Global Affairs
          making it a reality will be challenging.
                                                                The second major policy shift involves US en-
          Trade and Tariffs
                                                                gagement in global affairs. It likely is that the US
          The first major shift will involve trade, where       will restrict support for Ukraine and may back
          President Trump asserted that he would impose         away  from commitments in  the Middle  East.
          a 20% tariff on anything that was exported into       There is talk about withdrawing from NATO, and
          the US and a 60% tariff on goods from China.          the US will not engage in most of the internation-
          That  is  easier  said  than  done.  In  his  first  term,   al meetings. This strategy may erode, as well,
          he tried to impose significant tariffs on import-     because it means the US will not have a seat at
          ed steel and aluminum, but by the time the plan       the table when decisions are being made.
          was implemented, there were exemptions for            The most pressing issue will be Taiwan and
          Canada, Mexico, Europe, South Korea, Australia,       whether the US will back that nation if China at-
          Brazil, Argentina and Japan. China dodged the         tacks. North Korea is a potential crisis point, as
          tariffs by transshipping. Countries hit by tariffs    well. Given how integrated Taiwan, South Korea
          retaliated with tariffs and restrictions of their     and Japan are in the US economy, this will be an
          own. Remember when Japan struck back with



              May 2025                                                                       PLASTICS NEWS  49
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