Page 50 - Plastics News Issue May 2025
P. 50

INTERNATIONAL NEWS




          important set of decisions. This also could be a      Labor
          negotiating tactic. The US has been demanding
          that Europe play a bigger financial role in NATO,     It starts with labor, as economists and analysts
          and Ukraine and Japan have been pressured to          have been sounding the demographic alarm for
          play a bigger role in opposing China.                 years. By 2030, the entire Boomer generation
                                                                (76 million) will have reached retirement age.
          It is abundantly clear that the US needs imports,     There has to be a focused effort to train and
          as it does not produce everything required, but       educate people for the jobs of today.
          it is equally clear these nations need the US con-
          sumer – a wide-open opportunity to indulge in         Regulations
          negotiations. It is evident that the US will be-      The second major issue is regulation – thou-
          come more isolated from global issues as it fo-       sands of regulations are promulgated every year
          cuses on domestic concerns.                           and they have become a major burden. Many of

          Immigration                                           the regulations have nothing to do with the core
                                                                business and are directed at social issues. Many
          The third policy shift is immigration. There is a     regulations are contradictory and overall expen-
          universal agreement that something must be            sive. The average cost of regulatory compliance
          done to control illegal immigration. This also is     for a company now is $315,000 annually (19% of
          an issue in Europe and Asia. The challenge is         payroll costs). A small company with 20 employ-
          that the patterns have changed. The migrants          ees is paying $1 million in compliance costs per
          today are better classified as refugees, as they      year. Manufacturers pay $350 million in compli-
          are fleeing tyrannical regimes, drug wars and         ance costs annually, and that is 12% of the sec-
          the like. They are not interested in assimilation     tor’s value to GDP.
          or even working in the US – ultimately, they want
          to go home. This creates a major drain on US          Infrastructure
          resources. The border will be tightened, and it       The third issue is infrastructure support. The US
          will be expensive.                                    transportation system has been graded D-nega-
                                                                tive by civil engineering associations. The power
          At the same time, the US faces an acute labor
          shortage and needs migrants with the right skills     grid is woefully inadequate. The data center ex-
          and willingness to adapt to living in the US. How     pansion alone will require 45 terawatts of energy,
          does the US attract the people it needs, while        which means radical expansion of power plants
          keeping others out – especially given that every      fueled by everything available (e.g., oil, gas, coal,
          nation is seeking people with those same skills       nuclear, wind, solar). The ports are inefficient as
          and education?                                        unions block the use of technology, and water
                                                                availability has become a major issue as well.
          Emerging Issues and Economic C hallenges              The US is welcoming reshoring, but companies
                                                                can’t move to the US if there are no workers,
          What  should  be demanded  from those  who            no power, no water, bad roads and regulations
          were just elected? From the business perspec-         that cost millions. And then, there is the issue of
          tive, three issues emerge at the top of nearly        taxes – often distorting and too high for many
          every list.                                           businesses to handle.



             50   PLASTICS NEWS                                                                      May 2025
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